Who will J&K assembly Election 2008 (Opinion poll)?

For live update of Results visit- Live Update J&K assembly Election results 2008

Presently, J&K assembly elections are moving towards their final destination that is election results. J&K assembly elections results will be declared on 28th Dec, 2008. Therefore, on 28th Dec it will become clear to us that who is going to be new CM of J&K. In 2002, elections National conference (NC) lead by DR Farooq Abdullah was defeated by Congress, PDP and others combine. In earlier, 1996 elections NC won 57 seats out of total 87 seats in state, therefore, 2002 J&K assembly elections were believed as an vote against NC which secured only 28 seats in state (though it was still largest party in state).

In these elections, Congress won 20 seats, PDP 16 seats, Panthers Party 4, CPI(M) 2, BJP 1, BSP 1 and independent 15. Congress and PDP managed to make government in state with CM position sharing agreement. Now, the main question is that who will form next government in J&K. According to latest reports and surveys, there are good chances that we can again see NC or NC+BJP government in J&K. There are estimates that NC will manage to win 42-52 seats in state while BJP can perform well in Jammu region by winning 7-10 seats.

Positions of other parties can be like this Congress 14-17, PDP 10-12, other 7-10. If these predictions go right then we can see either NC government or NC-BJP combine government in state, though NC and BJP are not allies in these elections, however, there are good chances that they can come together to form government if NC wins less than 44 seats in state assembly.
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