Saturday, October 23, 2010

Predictions Bihar Assembly Election 2010 (Exit Polls)

Presently, Indian state Bihar is going through six phase assembly election. These elections started on 21 Oct and they will end on 20 Nov. Counting of votes of all phases of election will take place on 24 Nov and on this date, we will learn about new Chief Minister of Bihar. The main fight in Bihar is between JDU-BJP combine and RJD-LJP combine. Present government in Bihar is run by JDU-BJP combine leader Nitesh Kumar who is CM of Bihar from last five years. In 2005 Bihar assembly election, this alliance showed great performance by getting 142 seats out of total 243 seats whereas RJD-LJP-Congress combine of that time got only 65 seats. This time Lalu Yada leader of RJD wants to win Bihar elections again with the support of LJP. On the other hand, Congress has also decided to go alone in this election and play crucial role in the formation of next Bihar government. So far, it is very difficult to predict exact outcome of these elections; however, many reports, exit poll results and predictions are available in front of us which all clearly gives thumbs up to RJD-BJP alliances. I have also talked to numbers of people living in Bihar and observing these elections and they all are pointing towards second time win for Nitesh Kumar. All predictions indicate that Nitesh party Janta Dal United will perform even better than previous election and we can see 10 to 35 more seats for JDU while we can see 5 to 10 seats decrease in BJP seats. There is also good news for Congress which can see increase of 5 to 15 seats. While there is no good news for Lalu Yadav and Ram Vilas Paswan and his alliance can see decrease of 10 to 20 seats. If these predictions went right then we can again see Nitesh Kumar in power in Bhiar.

My Predictions

JDU-BJP 145-165
RJD-LJP 40-55
Congress 22-32
Others 10-25
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